FORECASTS

FORECASTS

FORECASTS projects governed economics. Every projection evidenced.

Purpose

FORECASTS projects the horizon. Every projection evidenced. Every scenario reconciled against actuals.

FORECASTS takes governed inputs — FINANCIALS actuals, DEAL pipeline, PATENT filing clocks, market signals — and produces evidenced scenarios. Not predictions. Scenarios with probabilities, triggers, and milestones. Reconciled monthly against what actually happened. The gap between forecast and actual is the LEARNING signal.

Structure

Leaf service scope. No child domains.

Required closure artifacts per scope: CANON.md, README.md, FORECASTS.md, VOCAB.md, ROADMAP.md, COVERAGE.md, LEARNING.md.

Learning lane per governed scope: LEARNING.md at the scope root is terminal and SHALL NOT nest further LEARNING/.

Horizons

Horizon Scope Signal Source
30 days Filing deadlines, WORK TALKs PATENT clocks, DEAL pipeline
90 days Conversions, enterprise outreach FINANCIALS actuals, DEAL stage transitions
12 months Prosecution, platform revenue LEDGER event density, market signals
36 months Grants, Foundation deposit RESERVES runway, COIN circulation

Scenarios

Scenario Probability Trigger Reconciliation
Base 80% Governed inputs on track Monthly vs FINANCIALS actuals
Upside 30% Enterprise adoption, market signal Quarterly vs DEAL closures
Downside 15% Filing delays, burn overshoot Monthly vs RESERVES runway

Routes

web_docs: https://hadleylab-canonic.github.io/
web_surface: https://hadleylab-canonic.github.io/SERVICES/FORECASTS/
magic:    magic://hadleylab-canonic.github.io/SERVICES/FORECASTS/

Ecosystem Connectivity

  1. Upstream: SERVICES governance contracts and DEXTER scope inheritance.
  2. FINANCIALS plane: actuals feed forecast reconciliation — variance is LEARNING.
  3. DEAL plane: pipeline probability feeds revenue scenarios.
  4. PATENT plane: 12-month filing clocks drive urgency signals.
  5. RESERVES plane: runway and burn rate feed downside scenarios.
  6. VAULT plane: all projections are VAULT-gated. Never public.

Pages

Page Sections
Overview Purpose, Structure
Ecosystem Routes, Ecosystem Connectivity

Default: Overview.

*FORECASTS SPEC SERVICES*
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